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Daily Gas Flows (Part 4- Evaluation)

==============Daily Model Baseline Score================
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
02/10/17.....-2.7....-0.9......1.8......2.8......4.4......0.9......1.7......8.1
02/17/17......1.8......4.7......2.5.....-0.5......1.8......4.7......2.7....17.7
02/24/17.....-0.5......4.4......3.1....-0.5......1.1......4.7......3.7....16.0
03/03/17......5.3......3.1......0.8......3.0......4.0......4.8.....-0.1....21.0
03/10/17.....-2.9....-1.4......0.5......1.8......3.8......9.2......2.7....13.7
03/17/17......6.4......0.6.....-0.3....-1.1.....-2.4......1.8......6.9....11.9
03/24/17......1.8......6.3......4.9......4.4......2.9......2.8......3.6....26.7
03/31/17......6.8......3.6......4.1......3.4......3.2......4.8......2.9....28.9
04/07/17......4.5......4.6......6.4......5.0......3.9......4.8......4.0....33.2
04/14/17......1.5......1.4......0.5......0.3......0.1......3.2......2.8......9.7
04/21/17......3.0......3.9......2.7i.................................................9.6i

===========Physicals Daily Model Baseline Score============
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
02/10/17.....-0.6....-4.8...-10.7...-15.3...-14.0....-7.4.....-1.1...-54.1
02/17/17.....-9.7..-12.0...-10.2...-10.9.....-8.3....-2.9.....-6.4...-60.4
02/24/17...-16.9..-17.5...-18.4...-20.0...-19.7..-16.3...-15.0.-123.7
03/03/17.....-7.9....-2.1.....-4.2...-10.4...-15.2....-8.8.....-2.3...-50.9
03/10/17......0.1.....-0.4....-5.5...-10.8...-10.9.....-4.3....-2.1...-33.9
03/17/17....14.5....14.4....13.4....13.5....14.9....16.7....14.1..101.4
03/24/17......3.2......5.7......2.3.....-2.1......0.8......6.8......0.8....17.4
03/31/17.....-2.2....-3.6.....-2.8.....-3.0.....-1.7......1.4......2.7....-9.2
04/07/17......5.4......2.7......0.5.....-1.7....-1.5......1.6......3.6....10.6
04/14/17......0.9.....-3.3....-7.5.....-7.5.....-6.7.....-2.4....-2.4...-28.8
04/21/17.....-3.0....-2.8.....-4.2i..............................................-10.0i

===================Fair-Value Model====================
.................----10 Week Average-----
__Date__BL.Score_H.Hub_Oil/Gas________Signal________
03/18/17......2.75r.....2.96.....17.69.....Fair-Value Much > 2.96
03/19/17......2.88......2.95.....17.71.....Fair-Value Much > 2.95
03/20/17......2.94r.....2.95.....17.71.....Fair-Value Much > 2.95
03/21/17......2.93......2.94.....17.70.....Fair-Value Much > 2.94
03/22/17......2.74......2.94.....17.70.....Fair-Value Much > 2.94
03/23/17......2.48r.....2.93.....17.71.....Fair-Value Much > 2.93
03/24/17......2.29......2.93.....17.72.....Fair-Value Much > 2.93
03/25/17......2.37r.....2.92.....17.73.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
03/26/17......2.40......2.92.....17.75.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
03/27/17......2.44r.....2.91.....17.76.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
03/28/17......2.50......2.90.....17.77.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
03/29/17......2.50......2.90.....17.78.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
03/30/17......2.48......2.90.....17.79.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
03/31/17......2.46......2.90.....17.79.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
04/01/17......2.46r.....2.90.....17.79.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
04/02/17......2.43r.....2.89.....17.79.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/03/17......2.46r.....2.89.....17.79.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/04/17......2.52r.....2.89.....17.79.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/05/17......2.58r.....2.89.....17.79.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/06/17......2.61r.....2.89.....17.80.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/07/17......2.66r.....2.89.....17.81.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/08/17......2.67r.....2.88.....17.81.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/09/17......2.67......2.88.....17.81.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/10/17......2.64......2.88.....17.82.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/11/17......2.64......2.88.....17.82.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/12/17......2.60......2.88.....17.82.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/13/17......2.61......2.88.....17.83.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/14/17......2.67......2.88.....17.83.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/15/17......2.75......2.88.....17.83.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/16/17......2.82......2.88.....17.83.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/17/17......2.83......2.88.....17.81.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88

Fair Value Crossings (From 05/19/13 Model Run)
..................--10 Week Average--
____Date____H.Hub__Oil/Gas___Comments__
.....01/03/02......2.38........8.31.....(on $19.75 oil)
.....06/23/02......3.38........7.79.....(on 26.33 oil)
.....07/30/02......3.13........8.38.....(on 26.26 oil)
.....03/11/03......6.54........5.31.....(on 34.76 oil)
.....03/26/04......5.49........6.46.....(on 35.46 oil)
.....05/24/04......5.81........6.52.....(on 37.83 oil)
.....02/25/05......6.28........7.41.....(on 46.51 oil)
.....07/16/06......6.07......11.80.....(on 71.68 oil)
.....10/13/06......5.65......11.81.....(on 66.65 oil)
.....08/16/07......6.61......10.86.....(on 71.87 oil)
.....04/14/08......9.17......11.16.....(on 102.34 oil)
.....09/11/09......3.08......21.99.....(on 67.82 oil)
.....01/31/10......5.32......14.35.....(on 76.37 oil)
.....02/08/12......2.87......34.54.....(on 99.09 oil)
.....06/09/13......4.08......22.89.....(on 93.38 oil)
.....10/09/13......3.52......30.18.....(on 106.20 oil)
.....10/23/13......3.60......29.26.....(on 105.24 oil)
.....12/09/13......3.69......26.31.....(on 97.19 oil)
.....04/15/14......5.13......19.73.....(on 101.28 oil)
.....11/26/15......2.27......19.69.....(on 44.73 oil)
.....03/04/15......2.08......15.42.....(on 32.01 oil)
.....03/23/15......1.92......17.11.....(on 32.90 oil)