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Daily Gas Flows (Part 4- Evaluation)

==============Daily Model Baseline Score================
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
03/10/17.....-2.8....-1.4......0.5......1.8......3.8......9.2......2.7....13.7
03/17/17......6.4......0.6.....-0.2....-1.1.....-2.4......1.8......7.0....12.1
03/24/17......1.8......6.3......4.9......4.4......2.9......2.8......3.6....26.7
03/31/17......6.8......3.6......4.1......3.4......3.2......4.7......3.0....28.8
04/07/17......4.6......4.6......6.4......5.0......3.8......4.8......4.0....33.1
04/14/17......2.0......1.9......0.9......0.7......0.5......3.8......3.0....12.8
04/21/17......2.2......3.0......2.6......2.6......1.0......3.1......3.8....18.3
04/28/17......2.8......3.0......3.1.....-0.2....-0.8......1.6......1.3....10.8
05/05/17......4.0......5.4......5.3......3.8......2.1......3.9......4.2....28.7
05/12/17......4.6......3.6......1.3......0.4......1.9......5.5......5.0....22.2
05/19/17......5.8......6.0......6.1i...............................................17.9i

===========Physicals Daily Model Baseline Score============
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
03/10/17......0.2.....-0.4....-5.4...-10.8...-10.9.....-4.3....-2.1...-33.7
03/17/17....14.5....14.4....13.4....13.5....14.9....16.7....14.1..101.5
03/24/17......3.2......5.7......2.3.....-2.1......0.8......6.8......0.8....17.5
03/31/17.....-2.2....-3.6.....-2.8.....-3.0.....-1.7......1.4......2.8....-9.1
04/07/17......5.4......2.7......0.5.....-1.7....-1.5......1.7......3.6....10.6
04/14/17......1.4.....-2.8....-7.0.....-7.0.....-6.2.....-1.9....-2.1...-25.6
04/21/17.....-3.8....-3.6.....-4.2.....-3.3.....-2.7......0.1......1.9..-15.6
04/28/17......3.6......3.2......1.1.....-3.1....-3.8.....-0.8......0.6......0.8
05/05/17......5.4......7.2......5.6......4.2......3.4......5.3......5.5....36.5
05/12/17......6.0......6.6......6.1......4.2......2.8......4.9......4.7....35.3
05/19/17......6.3......6.0......5.1i...............................................17.4i

===================Fair-Value Model====================
.................----10 Week Average-----
__Date__BL.Score_H.Hub_Oil/Gas________Signal________
04/15/17......2.79......2.88.....17.83.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/16/17......2.84r.....2.88.....17.83.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/17/17......2.86......2.88.....17.81.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/18/17......2.85......2.88.....17.81.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/19/17......2.80......2.88.....17.80.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/20/17......2.84......2.88.....17.78.....Fair-Value Much > 2.88
04/21/17......2.86......2.89.....17.75.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/22/17......2.88......2.89.....17.71.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/23/17......2.85......2.89.....17.68.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/24/17......2.86......2.89.....17.65.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/25/17......2.87r.....2.89.....17.62.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/26/17......2.83......2.89.....17.59.....Fair-Value Much > 2.89
04/27/17......2.78......2.90.....17.55.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
04/28/17......2.76......2.90.....17.49.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
04/29/17......2.83r.....2.91.....17.44.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
04/30/17......2.84r.....2.92.....17.38.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
05/01/17......2.87r.....2.92.....17.32.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
05/02/17......2.94r.....2.93.....17.24.....Fair-Value Much > 2.93
05/03/17......2.95r.....2.94.....17.17.....Fair-Value Much > 2.94
05/04/17......2.94r.....2.94.....17.09.....Fair-Value Much > 2.94
05/05/17......2.94r.....2.95.....17.00.....Fair-Value Much > 2.95
05/06/17......2.94r.....2.96.....16.91.....Fair-Value Much > 2.96
05/07/17......2.94r.....2.97.....16.83.....Fair-Value Much > 2.97
05/08/17......2.95r.....2.98.....16.75.....Fair-Value Much > 2.98
05/09/17......2.91......2.99.....16.67.....Fair-Value Much > 2.99
05/10/17......2.88......2.99.....16.59.....Fair-Value Much > 2.99
05/11/17......2.89......3.00.....16.52.....Fair-Value Much > 3.00
05/12/17......2.96......3.01.....16.44.....Fair-Value Much > 3.01
05/13/17......3.09......3.02.....16.36.....Fair-Value Much > 3.02
05/14/17......3.19......3.03.....16.27.....Fair-Value Much > 3.03
05/15/17......3.27......3.04.....16.21.....Fair-Value Much > 3.04

Fair Value Crossings (From 05/19/13 Model Run)
..................--10 Week Average--
____Date____H.Hub__Oil/Gas___Comments__
.....01/03/02......2.38........8.31.....(on $19.75 oil)
.....06/23/02......3.38........7.79.....(on 26.33 oil)
.....07/30/02......3.13........8.38.....(on 26.26 oil)
.....03/11/03......6.54........5.31.....(on 34.76 oil)
.....03/26/04......5.49........6.46.....(on 35.46 oil)
.....05/24/04......5.81........6.52.....(on 37.83 oil)
.....02/25/05......6.28........7.41.....(on 46.51 oil)
.....07/16/06......6.07......11.80.....(on 71.68 oil)
.....10/13/06......5.65......11.81.....(on 66.65 oil)
.....08/16/07......6.61......10.86.....(on 71.87 oil)
.....04/14/08......9.17......11.16.....(on 102.34 oil)
.....09/11/09......3.08......21.99.....(on 67.82 oil)
.....01/31/10......5.32......14.35.....(on 76.37 oil)
.....02/08/12......2.87......34.54.....(on 99.09 oil)
.....06/09/13......4.08......22.89.....(on 93.38 oil)
.....10/09/13......3.52......30.18.....(on 106.20 oil)
.....10/23/13......3.60......29.26.....(on 105.24 oil)
.....12/09/13......3.69......26.31.....(on 97.19 oil)
.....04/15/14......5.13......19.73.....(on 101.28 oil)
.....11/26/15......2.27......19.69.....(on 44.73 oil)
.....03/04/15......2.08......15.42.....(on 32.01 oil)
.....03/23/15......1.92......17.11.....(on 32.90 oil)