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Daily Gas Flows (Part 4- Evaluation)

==============Daily Model Baseline Score================
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
05/05/17......4.0......5.4......5.3......3.8......2.1......3.9......4.2....28.8
05/12/17......3.0......1.9.....-0.3....-1.2......0.3......3.9......3.4....11.1
05/19/17......3.4......3.3......3.7......0.8.....-0.4....-0.5......0.7....11.2
05/26/17......3.6......4.3......3.9......2.7......2.3......3.6......2.3....22.7
06/02/17......1.8......0.1.....-1.4....-4.0.....-2.5.....-0.5.....-1.5....-7.9
06/09/17......3.8......2.6......2.3......1.1......1.8......4.7......3.6....19.9
06/16/17......3.9......1.9.....-0.6....-2.5.....-0.4......3.4......5.1....10.8
06/23/17......6.3......4.8......3.2......2.1......2.1......2.6......3.0....24.1
06/30/17......0.1......2.3......2.1......2.0......1.6......3.5......2.8....14.4
07/07/17......4.4......2.2......4.2......1.4.....-1.1......3.2......3.5....17.8
07/14/17......5.6......6.3......5.8i...............................................17.7i

===========Physicals Daily Model Baseline Score============
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
05/05/17......5.3......7.2......5.6......4.3......3.5......5.3......5.5....36.6
05/12/17......4.4......4.9......4.5......2.7......1.3......3.3......3.1....24.2
05/19/17......4.0......3.4......2.8......0.0......0.0......2.8......5.6....18.5
05/26/17......6.1......4.5......2.9......1.2......0.9......2.3......1.5....19.5
06/02/17......1.9......0.1.....-1.6....-4.2.....-3.1.....-1.5.....-2.5..-11.1
06/09/17......3.1......2.6......2.5......1.2......1.1......3.0......2.2....15.8
06/16/17......3.9......4.4......4.3......3.3......3.7......5.1......6.4....31.2
06/23/17......8.2......7.6......5.6......3.6......3.7......5.1......6.1....39.9
06/30/17......1.7......1.8......0.7.....-0.4....-0.9......2.6......4.1......9.6
07/07/17......6.2......3.9......6.3......3.2......0.2......4.5......5.4....29.7
07/14/17......7.1......6.7......6.1i...............................................19.9i

===================Fair-Value Model====================
.................----10 Week Average-----
__Date__BL.Score_H.Hub_Oil/Gas________Signal________
06/10/17......2.29......3.08.....16.03.....Fair-Value Much > 3.08
06/11/17......2.25......3.08.....16.01.....Fair-Value Much > 3.08
06/12/17......2.15r.....3.08.....15.99.....Fair-Value Much > 3.08
06/13/17......2.05......3.08.....15.97.....Fair-Value Much > 3.08
06/14/17......1.99......3.07.....15.97.....Fair-Value Much > 3.07
06/15/17......1.97......3.07.....15.96.....Fair-Value Much > 3.07
06/16/17......1.98......3.07.....15.94.....Fair-Value Much > 3.07
06/17/17......2.04......3.06.....15.92.....Fair-Value Much > 3.06
06/18/17......2.08r.....3.06.....15.91.....Fair-Value Much > 3.06
06/19/17......2.12r.....3.06.....15.89.....Fair-Value Much > 3.06
06/20/17......2.13r.....3.05.....15.85r....Fair-Value Much > 3.05
06/21/17......2.16......3.05.....15.81.....Fair-Value Much > 3.05
06/22/17......2.14......3.05.....15.77r....Fair-Value Much > 3.05
06/23/17......2.14......3.05.....15.73r....Fair-Value Much > 3.05
06/24/17......2.11r.....3.05.....15.69r....Fair-Value Much > 3.05
06/25/17......2.10r.....3.04.....15.65r....Fair-Value Much > 3.04
06/26/17......2.09r.....3.04.....15.62.....Fair-Value Much > 3.04
06/27/17......2.08r.....3.04.....15.58.....Fair-Value Much > 3.04
06/28/17......2.09r.....3.04.....15.56.....Fair-Value Much > 3.04
06/29/17......2.10r.....3.04.....15.55.....Fair-Value Much > 3.04
06/30/17......2.08r.....3.04.....15.54.....Fair-Value Much > 3.04
07/01/17......2.11r.....3.03.....15.54.....Fair-Value Much > 3.03
07/02/17......2.09r.....3.03.....15.53.....Fair-Value Much > 3.03
07/03/17......2.11......3.03.....15.52.....Fair-Value Much > 3.03
07/04/17......2.13......3.03.....15.51.....Fair-Value Much > 3.03
07/05/17......2.13......3.03.....15.50.....Fair-Value Much > 3.03
07/06/17......2.15......3.03.....15.49.....Fair-Value Much > 3.03
07/07/17......2.18......3.02.....15.49.....Fair-Value Much > 3.02
07/08/17......2.20......3.02.....15.49.....Fair-Value Much > 3.02
07/09/17......2.22......3.01.....15.48.....Fair-Value Much > 3.01
07/10/17......2.22......3.01.....15.48.....Fair-Value Much > 3.01

Fair Value Crossings (From 05/19/13 Model Run)
..................--10 Week Average--
____Date____H.Hub__Oil/Gas___Comments__
.....01/03/02......2.38........8.31.....(on $19.75 oil)
.....06/23/02......3.38........7.79.....(on 26.33 oil)
.....07/30/02......3.13........8.38.....(on 26.26 oil)
.....03/11/03......6.54........5.31.....(on 34.76 oil)
.....03/26/04......5.49........6.46.....(on 35.46 oil)
.....05/24/04......5.81........6.52.....(on 37.83 oil)
.....02/25/05......6.28........7.41.....(on 46.51 oil)
.....07/16/06......6.07......11.80.....(on 71.68 oil)
.....10/13/06......5.65......11.81.....(on 66.65 oil)
.....08/16/07......6.61......10.86.....(on 71.87 oil)
.....04/14/08......9.17......11.16.....(on 102.34 oil)
.....09/11/09......3.08......21.99.....(on 67.82 oil)
.....01/31/10......5.32......14.35.....(on 76.37 oil)
.....02/08/12......2.87......34.54.....(on 99.09 oil)
.....06/09/13......4.08......22.89.....(on 93.38 oil)
.....10/09/13......3.52......30.18.....(on 106.20 oil)
.....10/23/13......3.60......29.26.....(on 105.24 oil)
.....12/09/13......3.69......26.31.....(on 97.19 oil)
.....04/15/14......5.13......19.73.....(on 101.28 oil)
.....11/26/15......2.27......19.69.....(on 44.73 oil)
.....03/04/15......2.08......15.42.....(on 32.01 oil)
.....03/23/15......1.92......17.11.....(on 32.90 oil)