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Daily Gas Flows (Part 4- Evaluation)

==============Daily Model Baseline Score================
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
07/07/17......3.3......1.1......3.0......0.3.....-2.1......2.1......2.4....10.0
07/14/17......6.2......7.0......6.7......4.2......2.0......2.8......5.1....34.0
07/21/17......7.0......7.1......6.5......4.8......2.0......1.9......2.4....31.5
07/28/17......3.4......4.7......5.4......5.0......2.9......4.3......5.7....31.4
08/04/17......6.5......5.7......5.4......4.8......4.1......5.9......6.2....38.4
08/11/17......3.1......2.8......2.6......3.1......1.0......1.7......4.2....18.6
08/18/17......5.7......5.1......4.0......2.7......0.4......1.4......2.0....21.3
08/25/17......3.7......4.8......4.5......3.4......2.3......5.3......7.3....31.4
09/01/17......3.2......3.2......2.8......3.8......0.6......0.6......1.7....16.0
09/08/17.....-1.9....-1.9.....-2.9.....-4.3.....-3.0....-0.6......0.3...-14.3
09/15/17......2.8......2.2......2.0..................................................7.0i

===========Physicals Daily Model Baseline Score============
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
07/07/17......5.5......3.2......5.5......2.4.....-0.6......3.8......4.6....24.4
07/14/17......8.0......7.8......7.3......6.3......5.8......7.4......8.0....50.6
07/21/17......7.8......7.1......6.0......4.9......4.5......7.0......8.4....45.7
07/28/17......8.7......7.6......5.6......4.1......2.7......4.9......6.2....39.8
08/04/17......5.9......4.0......3.5......3.7......3.5......5.4......5.1....31.1
08/11/17......1.2......0.7......0.0......0.6.....-0.8......0.8......3.7......6.1
08/18/17......5.1......4.4......3.5......2.9......1.6......3.4......4.4....25.3
08/25/17......6.3......6.9......7.0......6.7......3.8......4.5......5.8....40.9
09/01/17......1.9......2.6......2.3......3.0.....-0.1......0.8......2.2....12.6
09/08/17.....-1.7....-1.1.....-1.5.....-3.6.....-3.4....-1.7.....-1.1...-14.1
09/15/17......1.5......1.1......1.2..................................................3.8i

===================Fair-Value Model====================
.................----10 Week Average-----
__Date__BL.Score_H.Hub_Oil/Gas________Signal________
08/12/17......3.34r.....2.92.....15.87.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/13/17......3.38r.....2.92.....15.87.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/14/17......3.40r.....2.92.....15.87.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/15/17......3.43r.....2.92.....15.87.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/16/17......3.41r.....2.92.....15.88.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/17/17......3.36r.....2.92.....15.89.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/18/17......3.34r.....2.92.....15.91.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/19/17......3.33r.....2.92.....15.93.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/20/17......3.38r.....2.92.....15.95.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/21/17......3.45r.....2.92.....15.97.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/22/17......3.54r.....2.92.....15.97.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/23/17......3.58r.....2.92.....15.99.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/24/17......3.61r.....2.92.....16.00.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/25/17......3.64r.....2.92.....16.01.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/26/17......3.60r.....2.92.....16.03.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/27/17......3.58r.....2.92.....16.05.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/28/17......3.57r.....2.92.....16.05.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/29/17......3.60r.....2.92.....16.07.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/30/17......3.58r.....2.92.....16.09.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
08/31/17......3.55r.....2.92.....16.11.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/01/17......3.54r.....2.92.....16.13.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/02/17......3.51r.....2.92.....16.14.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/03/17......3.45r.....2.92.....16.16.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/04/17......3.37r.....2.92.....16.19.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/05/17......3.28......2.92.....16.22.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/06/17......3.22......2.91.....16.25.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/07/17......3.16......2.91.....16.28.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/08/17......3.12......2.91.....16.29.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/09/17......3.11......2.91.....16.31.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/10/17......3.13......2.91.....16.33.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/11/17......3.11......2.91.....16.34.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91

Fair Value Crossings (From 05/19/13 Model Run)
..................--10 Week Average--
____Date____H.Hub__Oil/Gas___Comments__
.....01/03/02......2.38........8.31.....(on $19.75 oil)
.....06/23/02......3.38........7.79.....(on 26.33 oil)
.....07/30/02......3.13........8.38.....(on 26.26 oil)
.....03/11/03......6.54........5.31.....(on 34.76 oil)
.....03/26/04......5.49........6.46.....(on 35.46 oil)
.....05/24/04......5.81........6.52.....(on 37.83 oil)
.....02/25/05......6.28........7.41.....(on 46.51 oil)
.....07/16/06......6.07......11.80.....(on 71.68 oil)
.....10/13/06......5.65......11.81.....(on 66.65 oil)
.....08/16/07......6.61......10.86.....(on 71.87 oil)
.....04/14/08......9.17......11.16.....(on 102.34 oil)
.....09/11/09......3.08......21.99.....(on 67.82 oil)
.....01/31/10......5.32......14.35.....(on 76.37 oil)
.....02/08/12......2.87......34.54.....(on 99.09 oil)
.....06/09/13......4.08......22.89.....(on 93.38 oil)
.....10/09/13......3.52......30.18.....(on 106.20 oil)
.....10/23/13......3.60......29.26.....(on 105.24 oil)
.....12/09/13......3.69......26.31.....(on 97.19 oil)
.....04/15/14......5.13......19.73.....(on 101.28 oil)
.....11/26/15......2.27......19.69.....(on 44.73 oil)
.....03/04/15......2.08......15.42.....(on 32.01 oil)
.....03/23/15......1.92......17.11.....(on 32.90 oil)