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Daily Gas Flows (Part 4- Evaluation)

==============Daily Model Baseline Score================
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
08/04/17......6.5......5.7......5.4......4.8......4.1......5.9......6.2....38.4
08/11/17......3.1......2.8......2.6......3.2......1.0......1.7......4.2....18.7
08/18/17......5.7......5.1......4.0......2.7......0.4......1.4......2.0....21.2
08/25/17......3.7......4.8......4.5......3.4......2.3......5.3......7.3....31.3
09/01/17......3.2......3.2......2.7......3.8......0.6......0.6......1.7....15.9
09/08/17.....-1.4....-1.3.....-2.3.....-3.7.....-2.3......0.1......0.9....-9.9
09/15/17......1.2......0.6......0.4......0.2.....-1.6....-1.7.....-0.9.....-1.9
09/22/17......1.6......4.4......2.0......1.8......0.3......2.8......0.9....13.8
09/29/17......5.3......3.2......3.5......4.6......5.1......6.7......9.4....37.8
10/06/17......2.3......1.3.....-0.9....-0.7.....-0.6......1.5......1.4......4.4
10/13/17......5.5......5.0......2.8i...............................................13.3i

===========Physicals Daily Model Baseline Score============
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
08/04/17......5.9......4.0......3.4......3.7......3.5......5.3......5.1....30.8
08/11/17......1.1......0.6......0.0......0.5.....-0.8......0.8......3.6......5.9
08/18/17......5.0......4.3......3.5......2.9......1.6......3.4......4.4....25.2
08/25/17......6.3......6.8......7.0......6.7......3.8......4.5......5.7....40.9
09/01/17......1.9......2.6......2.3......3.0.....-0.1......0.8......2.2....12.6
09/08/17.....-1.1....-0.4.....-0.9.....-3.0.....-2.7....-1.1.....-0.4.....-9.7
09/15/17.....-0.1....-0.5.....-0.3.....-0.3.....-1.6....-1.0......0.3.....-3.7
09/22/17......3.5......6.6......4.0......4.0......3.6......7.1......5.0....33.8
09/29/17......9.1......7.1......7.3......7.7......7.4......7.4......8.6....54.7
10/06/17......1.9......1.2.....-1.2....-1.2.....-1.7.....-0.2......0.9.....-0.4
10/13/17......6.4......6.5......5.6i...............................................18.5i

===================Fair-Value Model====================
.................----10 Week Average-----
__Date__BL.Score_H.Hub_Oil/Gas________Signal________
09/09/17......3.13r.....2.91.....16.16.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/10/17......3.12r.....2.91.....16.18.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/11/17......3.09r.....2.91.....16.20.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/12/17......3.09r.....2.91.....16.21.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/13/17......3.09r.....2.91.....16.22.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/14/17......3.04r.....2.91.....16.23.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/15/17......2.99r.....2.91.....16.25.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/16/17......2.93r.....2.91.....16.27.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/17/17......2.89r.....2.91.....16.29.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/18/17......2.82r.....2.92.....16.30.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/19/17......2.79r.....2.92.....16.31.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/20/17......2.77r.....2.92.....16.32r....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/21/17......2.77r.....2.92.....16.33.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/22/17......2.71r.....2.92.....16.35.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/23/17......2.69r.....2.92.....16.37.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/24/17......2.63r.....2.92.....16.38r....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/25/17......2.59r.....2.92.....16.42.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/26/17......2.59r.....2.92.....16.45.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/27/17......2.63r.....2.92.....16.49.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/28/17......2.70r.....2.92.....16.53.....Fair-Value Much > 2.92
09/29/17......2.81r.....2.91.....16.57.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
09/30/17......2.79r.....2.91.....16.61.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
10/01/17......2.75r.....2.91.....16.65.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
10/02/17......2.66r.....2.91.....16.68.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
10/03/17......2.57r.....2.91.....16.72.....Fair-Value Much > 2.91
10/04/17......2.52......2.90.....16.73.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
10/05/17......2.48......2.90.....16.74.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
10/06/17......2.42......2.90.....16.74.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
10/07/17......2.41......2.90.....16.74.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
10/08/17......2.40......2.90.....16.73.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90
10/09/17......2.36......2.90.....16.73.....Fair-Value Much > 2.90

Fair Value Crossings (From 05/19/13 Model Run)
..................--10 Week Average--
____Date____H.Hub__Oil/Gas___Comments__
.....01/03/02......2.38........8.31.....(on $19.75 oil)
.....06/23/02......3.38........7.79.....(on 26.33 oil)
.....07/30/02......3.13........8.38.....(on 26.26 oil)
.....03/11/03......6.54........5.31.....(on 34.76 oil)
.....03/26/04......5.49........6.46.....(on 35.46 oil)
.....05/24/04......5.81........6.52.....(on 37.83 oil)
.....02/25/05......6.28........7.41.....(on 46.51 oil)
.....07/16/06......6.07......11.80.....(on 71.68 oil)
.....10/13/06......5.65......11.81.....(on 66.65 oil)
.....08/16/07......6.61......10.86.....(on 71.87 oil)
.....04/14/08......9.17......11.16.....(on 102.34 oil)
.....09/11/09......3.08......21.99.....(on 67.82 oil)
.....01/31/10......5.32......14.35.....(on 76.37 oil)
.....02/08/12......2.87......34.54.....(on 99.09 oil)
.....06/09/13......4.08......22.89.....(on 93.38 oil)
.....10/09/13......3.52......30.18.....(on 106.20 oil)
.....10/23/13......3.60......29.26.....(on 105.24 oil)
.....12/09/13......3.69......26.31.....(on 97.19 oil)
.....04/15/14......5.13......19.73.....(on 101.28 oil)
.....11/26/15......2.27......19.69.....(on 44.73 oil)
.....03/04/15......2.08......15.42.....(on 32.01 oil)
.....03/23/15......1.92......17.11.....(on 32.90 oil)