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Daily Gas Flows (Part 4- Evaluation)

==============Daily Model Baseline Score================
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
11/03/17......3.4......1.4.....-2.0....-3.6.....-5.0......2.5......7.6......4.5
11/10/17......7.7......4.2......3.9......0.7.....-2.8....-2.2.....-4.1......7.2
11/17/17.....-3.2....-5.2.....-1.3.....-1.2.....-3.4....-0.1......2.2...-12.3
11/24/17.....-1.8....-3.4.....-1.7.....-1.3.....-4.0....-4.6......2.0...-14.9
12/01/17.....-3.3....-2.0.....-1.8.....-2.0.....-4.6....-1.3.....-2.3...-17.3
12/08/17......3.3......1.8......0.6......1.0.....-1.4....-2.1.....-5.9.....-2.8
12/15/17.....-1.1....-1.8.....-1.2......0.4.....-2.1.....-1.8....-0.2.....-7.8
12/22/17.....-2.5....-1.1.....-0.1......5.9......3.5......4.8......4.4....14.9
12/29/17......7.6......5.9.....-2.0....-4.5.....-9.1.....-5.8.....-1.8....-9.8
01/05/18....10.0......7.1......2.3......1.8......3.8......8.5......8.4....41.8
01/12/18.....-4.9....-6.7i.........................................................-11.6i

===========Physicals Daily Model Baseline Score============
..................(Demand in excess of supply, BCF/Day)
_Ending___Sat__Sun__ Mon__Tue__Wed__ Thr___Fri__Total
11/03/17......6.4......6.2......3.2......2.9......0.4......1.1......3.1....23.2
11/10/17......5.6......1.4......1.2......3.8......4.5......5.5......7.7....29.6
11/17/17....12.5......6.6......4.2......1.1.....-2.0....-0.2......2.0....24.3
11/24/17.....-1.9....-2.3......1.5.....-1.2.....-4.2.....-1.5......1.4....-8.3
12/01/17.....-9.4....-7.8.....-7.0.....-9.1...-13.4....-9.4.....-8.8...-64.7
12/08/17.....-2.5....-5.4.....-9.3.....-9.9.....-8.0....-0.3......1.3...-34.2
12/15/17......7.3......5.5......2.3......3.5......6.2......8.8....10.7....44.2
12/22/17......4.8......0.9.....-4.1....-6.3.....-7.8.....-0.5......0.2...-12.9
12/29/17......2.2......4.8......6.0....12.1....13.3....18.5....20.0....76.9
01/05/18....29.8....32.2....35.3....34.9....29.5....30.0....31.5..223.3
01/12/18....19.8....13.7i..........................................................33.5i

===================Fair-Value Model====================
.................----10 Week Average-----
__Date__BL.Score_H.Hub_Oil/Gas________Signal________
12/08/17......0.23......2.91.....18.70......Fair-Value > 2.92
12/09/17......0.19......2.91.....18.74......Fair-Value > 2.91
12/10/17......0.14r.....2.91.....18.78......Fair-Value > 2.91
12/11/17......0.15......2.91.....18.81......Fair-Value > 2.91
12/12/17......0.16......2.91.....18.84......Fair-Value > 2.91
12/13/17......0.14......2.91.....18.88......Fair-Value > 2.91
12/14/17......0.09......2.91.....18.93......Fair-Value > 2.91
12/15/17......0.06......2.90.....19.00......Fair-Value = 2.90
12/16/17.....-0.02......2.90.....19.07......Fair-Value = 2.90
12/17/17.....-0.07r.....2.89.....19.14......Fair-Value < 2.89
12/18/17.....-0.06......2.89.....19.19......Fair-Value < 2.89
12/19/17.....-0.02r.....2.89.....19.24......Fair-Value < 2.89
12/20/17......0.00r.....2.88.....19.29......Fair-Value = 2.88
12/21/17......0.01......2.88.....19.36......Fair-Value = 2.88
12/22/17.....-0.02r.....2.87.....19.43......Fair-Value < 2.87
12/23/17......0.03r.....2.87.....19.50......Fair-Value > 2.87
12/24/17......0.06r.....2.86.....19.58......Fair-Value > 2.86
12/25/17.....-0.05r.....2.86.....19.63......Fair-Value = 2.86
12/26/17.....-0.15r.....2.86.....19.69......Fair-Value < 2.86
12/27/17.....-0.27r.....2.86.....19.74......Fair-Value < 2.86
12/28/17.....-0.39r.....2.86.....19.76......Fair-Value < 2.86
12/29/17.....-0.47r.....2.87.....19.73......Fair-Value < 2.87
12/30/17.....-0.35r.....2.88.....19.69......Fair-Value < 2.88
12/31/17.....-0.27r.....2.89.....19.66r.....Fair-Value < 2.89
01/01/18.....-0.27r.....2.90.....19.64r.....Fair-Value < 2.90
01/02/18.....-0.25r.....2.95.....19.32r.....Fair-Value < 2.95
01/03/18.....-0.19......3.01.....19.01......Fair-Value < 3.01
01/04/18.....-0.06......3.03.....18.92......Fair-Value < 3.03
01/05/18......0.05......3.03.....18.94......Fair-Value = 3.03
01/06/18.....-0.07......3.04.....18.97......Fair-Value < 3.04
01/07/18.....-0.18......3.04.....18.99......Fair-Value < 3.04

Fair Value Crossings (From 05/19/13 Model Run)
..................--10 Week Average--
____Date____H.Hub__Oil/Gas___Comments__
.....01/03/02......2.38........8.31.....(on $19.75 oil)
.....06/23/02......3.38........7.79.....(on 26.33 oil)
.....07/30/02......3.13........8.38.....(on 26.26 oil)
.....03/11/03......6.54........5.31.....(on 34.76 oil)
.....03/26/04......5.49........6.46.....(on 35.46 oil)
.....05/24/04......5.81........6.52.....(on 37.83 oil)
.....02/25/05......6.28........7.41.....(on 46.51 oil)
.....07/16/06......6.07......11.80.....(on 71.68 oil)
.....10/13/06......5.65......11.81.....(on 66.65 oil)
.....08/16/07......6.61......10.86.....(on 71.87 oil)
.....04/14/08......9.17......11.16.....(on 102.34 oil)
.....09/11/09......3.08......21.99.....(on 67.82 oil)
.....01/31/10......5.32......14.35.....(on 76.37 oil)
.....02/08/12......2.87......34.54.....(on 99.09 oil)
.....06/09/13......4.08......22.89.....(on 93.38 oil)
.....10/09/13......3.52......30.18.....(on 106.20 oil)
.....10/23/13......3.60......29.26.....(on 105.24 oil)
.....12/09/13......3.69......26.31.....(on 97.19 oil)
.....04/15/14......5.13......19.73.....(on 101.28 oil)
.....11/26/15......2.27......19.69.....(on 44.73 oil)
.....03/04/15......2.08......15.42.....(on 32.01 oil)
.....03/23/15......1.92......17.11.....(on 32.90 oil)
.....12/16/17......2.90......19.07.....(on 55.23 oil) *** Present
.....12/20/17......2.88......19.29.....(on 55.65 oil) *** Present
.....12/25/17......2.86......19.63.....(on 56.14 oil) *** Present
.....01/05/18......3.03......18.94.....(on 57.48 oil) *** Present