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Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply)

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*** 02/14/17 Note - As per the note in the comments section, due to family issues some modeling has been down and several models (especially
Production) have been affected.  Four of those models were brought back up over the Christmas weekend, and some of the distortion of having them
down has been mitigated.  However, as other models remain down, cautions (as per the comments post) remain.
 
 
=======================================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Supply.Models.(BCF/Day)=====================================
............................Net.US.Supply...........................................Production....................................Dry-Gas.Imports...................LNG.Imports.(Revaporized)
_____ 2013__2014__2015__2016__2017___ 2013__2014__2015__2016__2017__ 2013_2014_2015_2016_2017__ 2013_2014_2015_2016_2017
01......70.90...74.13...80.98...79.00...76.62......67.27...69.32...76.17...74.76...73.03.....3.35...4.44...4.15...3.64...3.27......0.29...0.37...0.66...0.60...0.32.
02......72.04...73.46...82.77...79.38...75.71i.....68.48...69.54...78.03...75.40...72.03i....3.25...3.59...3.92...3.34...3.36i......0.32...0.33...0.81...0.64...0.32i
03......71.15...74.49...80.03...76.92..................68.15...71.58...76.76...74.27.................2.76...2.52...3.01...2.28................0.25...0.38...0.25...0.37...........
04......71.02...75.23...78.57...77.62..................67.87...72.51...75.57...74.28.................2.81...2.45...2.67...3.03................0.34...0.27...0.33...0.31...........
05......71.87...77.36...78.02...76.91..................69.01...74.21...75.03...73.55.................2.49...2.90...2.67...3.10................0.38...0.25...0.32...0.26...........
06......72.22...76.90...77.91...76.88..................69.03...74.06...74.83...72.95.................2.92...2.59...2.76...3.66................0.28...0.26...0.32...0.27...........
07......71.53...76.49...77.99...77.32..................68.70...73.78...74.93...73.03.................2.58...2.40...2.75...4.00................0.26...0.31...0.31...0.29...........
08......70.45...76.91...78.43...77.06..................67.86...73.83...75.62...73.16.................2.30...2.76...2.52...3.61................0.29...0.31...0.29...0.29...........
09......70.68...76.86...78.75...76.41..................67.76...74.09...76.12...72.85.................2.64...2.42...2.30...3.27................0.28...0.35...0.33...0.29...........
10......71.33...78.71...77.65...75.15..................68.37...75.43...74.65...71.73.................2.63...2.99...2.71...3.11................0.33...0.30...0.29...0.30...........
11......74.28...79.22...76.72...75.78..................70.80...75.67...73.89...73.02.................3.06...3.17...2.58...2.52................0.42...0.38...0.26...0.24...........
12......73.38...82.17...76.46...76.45..................69.04...78.52...73.34...72.95.................4.00...3.36...2.82...3.22................0.34...0.30...0.30...0.29...........
 
 
 
==============================================Monthly US Dry-Gas Import/Export Models (BCF/Day)==============================================
..............Net US Dry-Gas Imports............................Canadian Imports...............................Canadian.Exports..........................Mexican Imports*........................Mexican Exports*
____ 2013_2014_2015_2016_2017____ 2013__2014__2015__2016__2017___2013_2014_2015_2016_2017___2013_2014_2015_2016_2017__ 2013_2014_2015_2016_2017
01......3.35...4.44...4.15...3.64...3.27..........7.67.....8.23.....7.85.....7.63.....7.81.......3.16...2.57...2.44...2.58...3.07.......0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00......1.16...1.22...1.26...1.41...1.47.
02......3.25...3.59...3.92...3.34...3.36i.........7.44.....7.89.....7.90.....7.29.....7.77i......3.12...3.07...2.74...2.55...2.95i.......0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00i.....1.08...1.23...1.23...1.40...1.47i
03......2.76...2.52...3.01...2.28....................7.00.....7.12.....7.31.....6.57...................3.06...3.39...3.08...2.91.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.19...1.21...1.21...1.39...........
04......2.81...2.45...2.67...3.03....................6.42.....6.30.....6.22.....7.02...................2.42...2.66...2.21...2.53.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.18...1.19...1.34...1.47...........
05......2.49...2.90...2.67...3.10....................6.75.....6.24.....6.03.....6.88...................3.03...2.06...1.92...2.31.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.24...1.28...1.43...1.47...........
06......2.92...2.59...2.76...3.66....................6.93.....6.36.....6.24.....7.08...................2.80...2.31...1.91...1.95.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.22...1.47...1.56...1.47...........
07......2.58...2.40...2.75...4.00....................6.43.....6.15.....6.13.....7.46...................2.50...2.20...1.79...1.96.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.35...1.55...1.58...1.50...........
08......2.30...2.76...2.52...3.61....................6.28.....6.28.....5.95.....7.23...................2.63...2.03...1.79...2.14.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.34...1.49...1.64...1.48...........
09......2.64...2.42...2.30...3.27....................6.60.....6.14.....6.54.....7.13...................2.78...2.20...2.61...2.39.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.19...1.52...1.63...1.47...........
10......2.63...2.99...2.71...3.11....................6.58.....6.33.....6.65.....6.19...................2.69...2.05...2.44...1.62.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.26...1.29...1.50...1.47...........
11......3.06...3.17...2.58...2.52....................6.74.....6.93.....6.42.....6.60...................2.45...2.48...2.42...2.61.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.24...1.28...1.42...1.47...........
12......4.00...3.36...2.82...3.22....................7.90.....7.36.....6.30.....7.72...................2.71...2.72...2.06...3.04.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.00................1.19...1.28...1.42...1.47...........
......* = Experimental Model
 
 
 
===============Daily Net US Supply Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16....76.02....75.86....76.38....77.19....76.74....78.73....77.58....538.52
12/23/16....76.31....77.14....78.40....78.33....76.89....76.43....75.28....538.78
12/30/16....75.37....75.37....74.99....75.64....76.13....76.01....76.03....529.53
01/06/17....75.81....76.02....76.04....76.48....76.90....76.78....76.08....534.11
01/13/17....77.00....78.12....78.61....76.34....75.63....76.06....76.41....538.17
01/20/17....76.65....76.48....76.43....76.34....76.47....76.88....76.58....535.84
01/27/17....76.43....76.87....77.00....76.34....76.05....76.39....76.62....535.70
02/03/17....76.47....76.53....76.93....77.16....77.43....77.24....78.10....539.86
02/10/17....75.80....75.64....75.92....74.54....75.16....77.24....76.24....530.55
02/17/17....75.54....74.49......0.00......0.00...........................................150.03i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16....79.25....79.91....80.74....80.62....81.68....82.75....82.27....567.22
02/19/16....83.26....82.88....82.43....82.06....80.02....78.72....78.53....567.91
02/26/16....77.57....77.52....79.07....77.71....76.17....76.87....77.93....542.85
03/04/16....76.80....76.61....76.89....77.21....79.04....78.82....78.09....543.47
03/11/16....77.47....77.48....76.95....76.56....76.62....77.03....77.06....539.17
 
 
 
===============Daily US Production Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16....72.40....72.31....72.76....73.51....72.92....74.04....73.45....511.41
12/23/16....72.95....73.01....73.46....73.80....73.10....73.05....72.17....511.55
12/30/16....72.54....72.40....72.17....72.83....73.01....72.82....72.96....508.72
01/06/17....72.99....73.05....73.15....73.65....73.51....73.34....72.37....512.06
01/13/17....72.39....73.00....73.59....72.41....72.68....73.45....72.78....510.29
01/20/17....73.06....72.84....72.79....72.86....72.93....73.14....72.95....510.57
01/27/17....73.24....73.50....73.51....72.76....72.68....73.04....73.18....511.91
02/03/17....72.73....72.78....73.12....73.45....74.02....73.63....73.93....513.64
02/10/17....71.78....71.90....72.19....71.66....72.00....72.39....71.76....503.69
02/17/17....71.98....71.92....71.94....67.28...........................................283.12i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16....75.24....75.95....76.45....75.96....76.41....76.88....76.59....533.48
02/19/16....76.72....76.46....76.67....77.17....76.07....74.67....74.83....532.59
02/26/16....74.72....74.57....75.91....74.54....73.56....73.86....74.27....521.42
03/04/16....73.95....73.94....74.25....74.53....75.47....75.09....74.57....521.79
03/11/16....74.83....74.83....74.49....74.60....74.80....74.89....74.81....523.26
....Estimated sample size: 72%
 
 
===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16......3.31......3.24......3.33......3.39......3.55......4.34......3.76......24.92
12/23/16......3.06......3.85......4.64......4.21......3.49......3.10......2.83......25.19
12/30/16......2.56......2.69......2.54......2.53......2.85......2.91......2.79......18.87
01/06/17......2.55......2.69......2.60......2.59......3.13......3.21......3.47......20.24
01/13/17......3.72......3.87......3.95......3.58......2.71......2.36......3.36......23.55
01/20/17......3.35......3.40......3.40......3.23......3.28......3.49......3.38......23.53
01/27/17......2.94......3.12......3.27......3.38......3.20......3.17......3.29......22.36
02/03/17......3.57......3.58......3.64......3.48......3.15......3.35......3.75......24.51
02/10/17......3.76......3.48......3.46......2.72......2.98......4.05......3.78......24.23
02/17/17......3.41......2.41.........................................................................5.82i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16......3.60......3.53......3.86......3.84......4.27......4.64......4.40......28.14
02/19/16......4.87......4.60......4.34......3.97......3.45......3.60......3.26......28.10
02/26/16......2.50......2.62......2.91......2.85......2.25......2.66......3.20......19.00
03/04/16......2.41......2.32......2.30......2.33......3.07......3.23......3.08......18.74
03/11/16......2.29......2.34......2.16......1.68......1.56......1.80......1.88......13.71
....Estimated sample size: 120%
 
 
==========Daily US LNG Imports (As Revaporized, BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16......0.32......0.31......0.29......0.29......0.27......0.36......0.36........2.19
12/23/16......0.29......0.28......0.29......0.31......0.30......0.29......0.27........2.04
12/30/16......0.28......0.28......0.28......0.28......0.28......0.28......0.28........1.93
01/06/17......0.28......0.28......0.30......0.24......0.25......0.23......0.24........1.81
01/13/17......0.89......1.25......1.08......0.35......0.25......0.25......0.27........4.33
01/20/17......0.24......0.24......0.25......0.25......0.26......0.26......0.25........1.74
01/27/17......0.25......0.25......0.23......0.20......0.17......0.18......0.16........1.43
02/03/17......0.18......0.18......0.18......0.23......0.27......0.27......0.42........1.71
02/10/17......0.27......0.27......0.27......0.16......0.17......0.80......0.70........2.63
02/17/17......0.16......0.16.........................................................................0.31i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16......0.42......0.43......0.43......0.81......1.01......1.23......1.28........5.60
02/19/16......1.67......1.81......1.42......0.92......0.49......0.46......0.44........7.22
02/26/16......0.35......0.33......0.25......0.33......0.36......0.36......0.47........2.43
03/04/16......0.44......0.35......0.35......0.35......0.50......0.51......0.43........2.93
03/11/16......0.34......0.31......0.29......0.27......0.26......0.34......0.37........2.20
....Estimated sample size: 81%
 
 
===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16......3.31......3.24......3.33......3.39......3.55......4.34......3.76......24.92
12/23/16......3.06......3.85......4.64......4.21......3.49......3.10......2.83......25.19
12/30/16......2.56......2.69......2.54......2.53......2.85......2.91......2.79......18.87
01/06/17......2.55......2.69......2.60......2.59......3.13......3.21......3.47......20.24
01/13/17......3.72......3.87......3.95......3.58......2.71......2.36......3.36......23.55
01/20/17......3.35......3.40......3.40......3.23......3.28......3.49......3.38......23.53
01/27/17......2.94......3.12......3.27......3.38......3.20......3.17......3.29......22.36
02/03/17......3.57......3.58......3.64......3.48......3.15......3.35......3.75......24.51
02/10/17......3.76......3.48......3.46......2.72......2.98......4.05......3.78......24.23
02/17/17......3.41......2.41.........................................................................5.82i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16......3.60......3.53......3.86......3.84......4.27......4.64......4.40......28.14
02/19/16......4.87......4.60......4.34......3.97......3.45......3.60......3.26......28.10
02/26/16......2.50......2.62......2.91......2.85......2.25......2.66......3.20......19.00
03/04/16......2.41......2.32......2.30......2.33......3.07......3.23......3.08......18.74
03/11/16......2.29......2.34......2.16......1.68......1.56......1.80......1.88......13.71
....Estimated sample size: 120%
 
 
=============Daily US Imports From Canada (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16......7.82......7.83......7.87......7.96......8.19......8.65......8.15......56.47
12/23/16......7.69......7.72......8.35......8.12......8.00......7.75......7.50......55.14
12/30/16......7.22......7.35......7.21......7.18......7.68......7.76......7.69......52.09
01/06/17......7.40......7.50......7.51......7.43......7.73......7.72......7.90......53.20
01/13/17......8.05......8.10......8.18......7.97......7.27......6.94......7.80......54.31
01/20/17......7.81......7.93......7.85......7.79......7.97......8.10......7.87......55.33
01/27/17......7.50......7.64......7.79......7.91......7.83......7.79......7.90......54.37
02/03/17......8.06......8.10......8.09......7.95......7.66......7.98......8.32......56.15
02/10/17......8.03......7.93......7.92......7.20......7.35......8.43......8.39......55.26
02/17/17......8.00......6.02.......................................................................14.02i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16......7.53......7.47......7.77......7.78......7.97......8.25......8.21......54.98
02/19/16......8.36......8.25......7.96......7.49......7.26......7.47......7.15......53.95
02/26/16......6.67......6.69......7.06......7.15......6.48......6.80......7.29......48.15
03/04/16......6.80......6.42......6.38......6.66......7.33......7.57......7.46......48.61
03/11/16......6.77......6.81......6.46......5.95......5.82......6.01......6.15......43.97
....Estimated sample size: 115%
 
 
==============Daily US Exports To Canada (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16......3.05......3.13......3.07......3.11......3.17......2.85......2.93......21.30
12/23/16......3.17......2.40......2.24......2.45......3.04......3.19......3.21......19.70
12/30/16......3.19......3.19......3.20......3.18......3.37......3.39......3.44......22.96
01/06/17......3.39......3.34......3.45......3.38......3.13......3.04......2.97......22.70
01/13/17......2.87......2.76......2.77......2.92......3.10......3.11......2.97......20.51
01/20/17......2.99......3.07......2.99......3.09......3.22......3.14......3.03......21.54
01/27/17......3.10......3.06......3.06......3.07......3.17......3.15......3.15......21.75
02/03/17......3.03......3.06......2.99......3.00......3.05......3.16......3.10......21.39
02/10/17......2.81......2.99......3.00......3.02......2.91......2.92......3.14......20.78
02/17/17......3.13......2.14.........................................................................5.27i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16......2.60......2.63......2.61......2.70......2.38......2.24......2.32......17.48
02/19/16......2.13......2.31......2.28......2.16......2.36......2.41......2.45......16.09
02/26/16......2.82......2.79......2.83......2.86......2.71......2.64......2.62......19.28
03/04/16......2.99......2.72......2.68......2.92......2.87......2.94......2.94......20.07
03/11/16......3.07......3.07......2.94......2.86......2.80......2.76......2.87......20.36
....Estimated sample size: 205%
 
 
=============Daily US Imports From Mexico (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
12/23/16......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
12/30/16......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
01/06/17......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
01/13/17......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
01/20/17......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
01/27/17......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
02/03/17......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
02/10/17......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
02/17/17......0.00......0.00.........................................................................0.00i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
02/19/16......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
02/26/16......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
03/04/16......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
03/11/16......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
....Estimated sample size: 8%
 
 
==============Daily US Exports To Mexico (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
12/23/16......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
12/30/16......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
01/06/17......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
01/13/17......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
01/20/17......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
01/27/17......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
02/03/17......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
02/10/17......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......1.47......10.26
02/17/17......1.47......1.47.........................................................................2.93i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16......1.34......1.32......1.30......1.23......1.33......1.37......1.48........9.36
02/19/16......1.35......1.34......1.35......1.36......1.45......1.46......1.44........9.75
02/26/16......1.34......1.28......1.32......1.43......1.52......1.50......1.47........9.87
03/04/16......1.40......1.38......1.40......1.41......1.38......1.40......1.44........9.81
03/11/16......1.41......1.40......1.36......1.41......1.46......1.46......1.40........9.90
....Estimated sample size: 81%