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Daily Gas Flows (Part 7- Demand)

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*** 01/29/17 Note - several components within the Generation Demand model and Residential & Commercial Demand
......model are down, causing a Generation underestimate and a R&C overestimate.
 
 
========================================================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Demand.Models.(BCF/Day)========================================================
.......................................................................................Residential.and
........................Net.US.Demand.................................Commercial.Demand.............................Generation.Demand..............................Industrial.Demand....................................Storage.Demand...............
____ 2013__2014__2015__2016__2017__ 2013__2014__2015__2016__2017__ 2013__2014__2015__2016__2017__ 2013__2014__2015__2016__2017___ 2013__ 2014__2015__2016__2017
01....70.90...74.13...80.98...79.00...76.62....39.36...48.47...45.06...40.59...38.62....24.60...26.35...27.75...29.83...25.44....29.50...30.73...31.77...32.64...34.07.....-22.56..-31.42..-23.60..-24.07..-21.51.
02....72.04...73.46...82.77...79.38...76.11i...39.29...43.95...51.09...30.28...36.33i...24.64...23.66...26.51...29.24...22.25i....29.09...31.82...31.21...33.33...33.93i....-20.99..-25.96..-26.05..-13.48..-16.40i
03....71.15...74.49...80.03...76.92................32.40...31.29...30.55...17.35................22.79...23.15...26.09...28.39................29.39...32.15...30.47...32.58.................-13.43..-12.10....-7.08....-1.41..............
04....71.02...75.23...78.57...77.62................15.85...14.33.....9.69...14.69................22.33...23.47...27.71...27.32................28.11...30.31...30.54...30.48.....................4.73......7.13....10.62......5.13..............
05....71.87...77.36...78.02...76.91..................6.60.....5.32.....4.13.....7.87................24.45...26.96...28.47...28.15................27.19...29.84...29.75...30.63...................13.64....15.25....15.69....10.27..............
06....72.22...76.90...77.91...76.88..................1.61.....1.16...-0.14.....5.37................30.38...30.76...35.65...34.13................27.70...29.66...30.10...29.69...................12.54....15.31....12.31......7.68..............
07....71.53...76.49...77.99...77.32..................0.44....-0.48...-0.15.....5.47................34.93...34.14...39.18...37.49................27.19...29.84...29.70...30.37.....................8.97....13.00......9.26......4.00..............
08....70.45...76.91...78.43...77.06.................-0.09....-0.00...-0.44.....4.79................34.68...34.91...39.11...37.82................27.02...30.35...29.78...30.23.....................8.84....11.65......9.99......4.22..............
09....70.68...76.86...78.75...76.41..................1.66.....1.30.....1.57.....5.06................29.82...31.93...35.55...33.17................27.98...29.45...28.95...29.78...................11.23....14.17....12.68......8.39..............
10....71.33...78.71...77.65...75.15..................8.98.....8.36.....5.73.....7.48................25.25...27.68...31.55...27.96................28.32...29.55...29.76...29.72.....................8.78....13.13....10.61......9.98..............
11....74.28...79.22...76.72...75.78................25.81...28.73...15.61...17.16................24.97...25.33...29.80...26.65................30.35...30.83...31.65...32.57...................-6.85....-5.67....-0.33....-0.60..............
12....73.38...82.17...76.46...76.45................37.30...32.34...22.96...38.61................27.10...26.42...30.26...26.16................31.67...31.89...32.00...33.61.................-22.69....-8.48....-8.76..-21.94..............
 
 
 
================Daily Net US Demand Model (BCF)================
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16....76.02....75.86....76.38....77.19....76.74....78.73....77.58....538.52
12/23/16....76.31....77.14....78.40....78.33....76.89....76.43....75.28....538.78
12/30/16....75.37....75.37....74.99....75.64....76.13....76.01....76.03....529.53
01/06/17....75.81....76.02....76.04....76.48....76.90....76.78....76.08....534.11
01/13/17....77.00....78.12....78.61....76.34....75.63....76.06....76.41....538.17
01/20/17....76.65....76.48....76.43....76.34....76.47....76.88....76.58....535.84
01/27/17....76.43....76.87....77.00....76.34....76.05....76.39....76.62....535.70
02/03/17....76.47....76.53....76.93....77.16....77.43....77.24....78.10....539.86
02/10/17....75.80....75.64....75.92....74.54....75.16....77.24....76.24....530.55
02/17/17....75.54....74.49.....................................................................150.03i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16....79.25....79.91....80.74....80.62....81.68....82.75....82.27....567.22
02/19/16....83.26....82.88....82.43....82.06....80.02....78.72....78.53....567.91
02/26/16....77.57....77.52....79.07....77.71....76.17....76.87....77.93....542.85
03/04/16....76.80....76.61....76.89....77.21....79.04....78.82....78.09....543.47
03/11/16....77.47....77.48....76.95....76.56....76.62....77.03....77.06....539.17
 
 
 
=======Daily US Residential & Commercial Demand Model (BCF)========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16....47.50....41.62....40.08....42.88....44.60....46.58....50.29....313.56
12/23/16....51.39....45.43....52.71....52.75....48.01....44.27....47.53....342.10
12/30/16....30.85....28.70....24.85....25.36....26.79....25.54....30.40....192.49
01/06/17....41.32....38.00....37.05....33.82....35.98....39.84....42.40....268.42
01/13/17....53.84....53.33....51.38....46.72....45.46....45.40....47.19....343.32
01/20/17....40.93....39.61....36.60....32.93....32.93....33.94....31.38....248.32
01/27/17....29.38....26.94....29.11....31.49....29.86....31.85....36.55....215.19
02/03/17....42.47....39.91....40.64....40.22....37.73....37.08....41.34....279.39
02/10/17....43.52....39.24....34.97....31.40....30.67....35.05....43.61....258.46
02/17/17....33.54....27.78.......................................................................61.32i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16....37.24....31.48....32.72....35.40....40.63....41.65....44.35....263.46
02/19/16....46.76....45.71....39.26....34.25....31.38....32.00....32.64....262.00
02/26/16....23.29....20.92....22.55....23.24....21.75....18.79....24.56....155.11
03/04/16....27.19....21.37....17.29....21.59....24.94....24.60....25.79....162.77
03/11/16....24.19....22.49....19.73....12.28......9.88....11.99....13.26....113.82
 
 
 
=============Daily US Generation Demand Model (BCF)=============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16....26.04....25.54....27.78....28.35....28.81....32.15....29.45....198.11
12/23/16....27.00....29.78....32.66....28.97....27.09....26.03....22.49....194.02
12/30/16....19.00....19.00....19.99....21.95....23.42....24.05....23.22....150.62
01/06/17....21.13....19.95....20.93....23.34....27.47....30.55....31.61....174.97
01/13/17....32.35....31.58....30.40....27.48....25.78....25.16....24.93....197.69
01/20/17....23.04....23.27....24.47....24.01....25.26....24.61....23.50....168.15
01/27/17....21.69....22.64....24.65....25.70....25.54....25.77....25.40....171.39
02/03/17....23.71....24.04....25.53....24.27....23.74....25.24....25.41....171.94
02/10/17....21.17....20.56....21.67....21.69....22.91....24.61....21.82....154.42
02/17/17....18.89....19.30....21.79..........................................................59.98i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16....29.93....31.11....31.82....34.88....34.52....32.62....29.02....223.90
02/19/16....27.05....26.68....28.63....28.96....28.32....27.86....26.50....193.99
02/26/16....26.01....26.24....28.36....28.44....29.17....31.27....31.49....200.98
03/04/16....27.65....26.41....28.53....30.17....31.63....32.03....30.85....207.27
03/11/16....26.87....26.33....27.27....28.95....30.75....29.51....28.42....198.08
....Estimated sample size: 26%
 
 
=============Daily US Industrial Demand Model (BCF)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16....33.10....33.11....33.08....33.31....34.11....34.51....34.62....235.84
12/23/16....34.72....34.53....33.67....34.09....34.47....34.17....34.00....239.65
12/30/16....33.93....33.91....34.19....33.82....33.54....33.12....32.89....235.42
01/06/17....33.10....34.57....34.56....34.35....34.92....34.64....35.59....241.72
01/13/17....34.31....33.78....34.35....33.79....34.57....34.76....34.59....240.16
01/20/17....34.89....34.79....34.79....34.08....33.34....33.28....33.20....238.37
01/27/17....33.57....33.82....33.16....33.95....34.59....34.16....32.85....236.12
02/03/17....32.66....33.05....33.30....33.73....34.49....34.93....33.37....235.53
02/10/17....34.38....34.31....34.06....33.79....33.66....33.67....32.79....236.66
02/17/17....33.81....33.90....33.87........................................................101.58i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16....33.59....33.38....33.07....32.86....32.89....33.61....33.45....232.85
02/19/16....33.31....33.27....33.29....33.54....34.04....33.20....33.26....233.92
02/26/16....33.31....33.46....33.51....33.70....33.66....33.85....33.27....234.76
03/04/16....32.94....32.78....32.76....32.79....32.85....33.27....33.03....230.42
03/11/16....32.86....32.67....32.53....32.09....32.40....32.50....33.23....228.27
....Estimated sample size: 7%
 
 
=============Daily US Storage Demand Model (BCF)================
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
12/16/16...-30.61..-24.41...-24.56...-27.34..-30.78...-34.52...-36.78..-209.00
12/23/16...-36.80..-32.60...-40.65...-37.48..-32.69...-28.04...-28.74..-237.00
12/30/16.....-8.40....-6.25.....-4.05.....-5.50....-7.62.....-6.70...-10.48....-49.00
01/06/17...-19.73..-16.51...-16.49...-15.04..-21.46...-28.24...-33.53..-151.00
01/13/17...-43.51..-40.58...-37.52...-31.65..-30.18...-29.26...-30.30..-243.00
01/20/17...-22.21..-21.19...-19.43...-14.68..-15.05...-14.95...-11.49..-119.00
01/27/17.....-8.22....-6.53.....-9.92...-14.80..-13.95...-15.39...-18.18....-87.00
02/03/17...-22.37..-20.47...-22.54...-21.06..-18.53...-20.01...-22.02..-147.00
02/10/17...-23.26..-18.47...-14.77...-12.35..-12.09...-16.09...-21.97..-118.99
02/17/17...-10.70....-6.49......................................................................-17.19i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/12/16...-21.49..-16.06...-16.87...-22.53..-26.36...-25.14...-24.56..-153.00
02/19/16...-23.86..-22.79...-18.75...-14.69..-13.72...-14.33...-13.87..-122.00
02/26/16.....-5.05....-3.10.....-5.35.....-7.67....-8.41.....-7.04...-11.39....-48.00
03/04/16...-10.98....-3.96.....-1.68.....-7.34..-10.37...-11.08...-11.59....-57.00
03/11/16.....-6.45....-4.00.....-2.58......3.24......3.59......3.04......2.16.......-1.00