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The Energy Report

The Energy Report

Phil Flynn
http://www.pricegroup.com/
pflynn&pricegroup.com


The Energy Report 09/12/17

The Come Back Trail

Oil prices and petroleum products are staring to deal with the recovery phase in Florida and Texas and the rest of the Gulf Coast. Gas prices at the pump are showing signs of stabilizing as refiners come back on line and fears of demand destruction as places in Florida and in Texas are cutting into local demand.

The Trump administration waived the Jones Act to allow more gasoline to be delivered to Florida to help get gas for first responders. Most of Florida's gas is brought in by ship. The Jones Act mandates the use of U.S. flagged vessels to transport merchandise between U.S. coasts. This will allow foreign-flagged vessels to bring in gasoline into Florida's ports that are just starting to reopen.

RBOB gasoline futures which spiked to as high as $2.17 a gallon on the September contract are now back to within a dime of pre-storm levels after hitting a low of 160.06 in the October future. This is more evidence that the U.S. energy Industry has done an amazing job rebounding from this storm and taking seriously their mission to provide fuel at fair prices. Even the hard hit Motiva, Port Arthur, Texas refinery, the county's largest, is back to a minimum production level after it fixed its 325,000 barrel a day crude unit. Gas prices are not that high considering all that we have gone through.

Reuter's is reporting that California and three other U.S. states are suing the government for delaying the rollout of higher "gas-guzzler" penalties for automakers. The Trump Administration ordered a review of U.S. vehicle fuel efficiency standards from 2022-2025 put in place by the Obama administration, saying they were too tough. The penalties are for automakers building new vehicles that fail to meet minimum fuel-economy standards. Regulators have been debating whether to grant automakers significant reductions in fuel economy requirements. The suit, which also includes Vermont, Maryland, and Pennsylvania, is the highest-profile legal challenge to the Trump administration vehicle policy to date. As part of a broad deregulation push under President Donald Trump, regulators are debating whether to grant automakers significant reductions in fuel economy requirements. California Attorney General Xavier Becerra said in a statement that fuel efficient cars mean "cleaner air, better overall health for our children, and savings at the pump... We will hold the Trump Administration accountable." Stay Tuned

Natural gas rallied even after Hurricane Irma knocked out power to over 7.3 million in Florida, Georgia, South Carolina and Alabama causing significant demand destruction. It is in part because many thought it could be worse and fears of infrastructure damage to power lines and Florida's three large nuclear plants was not as bad as feared. Vows from the Trump Administration to call power companies from all over the country to get the power back on line as quickly as possible will allow for the recovery efforts to go more smoothly and quickly.

In fact, many markets yesterday reacted to the fact that things, while terrible, could have been a lot worse.

Lumber futures went limit down as many structures fared much better that feared. Orange juice tanked hard and then rebounded as the market awaits the extent of the damage to citrus and vegetables in the aftermath of the storm.

For oil, demand destruction is the short term fear and we fight some seasonal weakness. The rebuild effort will mean more demand down the road. Construction and materials and the demand to create those products should give a a boost into the end of the year.

Make sure you are getting the Power to Prosper! Stay tuned to the Fox Business Network! They will have the latest storm updates and how it may impact your wallet. I'm headed to Dallas this October along with more than 50 of the world's leading financial experts. We'll be discussing the state of the economy, how politics are impacting the markets and much more. And I'd love for you to join us. Reserve your free spot! Reserve your free spot. Call me at 888-264-5665 or email me pflynnn@pricegroup.com

There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. PFGBEST, its officers and directors may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.

Phil is one of the world's leading energy market analysts, providing individual investors, professional traders and institutions with up-to-the-minute investment and risk management insight into global petroleum, gasoline and energy markets. Phil's market commentary, fundamental and technical analysis, and long-term forecasts are sought by industry executives, investors and media worldwide.

PLACING CONTINGENT ORDERS SUCH AS "STOP LOSS" OR "STOP LIMIT" ORDERS WILL NOT NECESSARILY LIMIT YOUR LOSSES TO THE INTENDED AMOUNTS. SINCE MARKET CONDITIONS MAY MAKE IT IMPOSSIBLE TO EXECUTE SUCH ORDERS.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. Alaron Trading Corp. its officers and directors may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.

Contact Phil at 800-935-6487 or pflynn&pricegroup.com.